Can Anyone Beat Usain Bolt?

The 100m race in the 2012 London Olympic games should be dominated be the Jamaicans and the Americans. The Jamaicans, however, have the stronger runners led by world-record holder Usain Bolt. A Jamaican sweep of the medals table would not be unlikely, with at least 2 out of the 3 medals going to them being the more likely scenario. The question is ‘Can Anyone Beat Usain Boly?’ Below we take a look at those who could run him close: G-S-B relates to the athletes chances of winning Gold, Silver or Bronze.

Yohan Blake, Jamaica

With a personal best time of 9.82 seconds, the 21 year-old Blake is the youngest sprinter ever to run the 100m in under 10 seconds. Blake shares the same coach with Bolt and could challenge him for gold if Bolt is off his game.
G-S-B Probability: 50-70-50

Tyson Gay, United States

Gay has had some bad injuries lately and may not even qualify if he doesn’t get back into running shape. However, if he does gets healthy in time for the Olympics, Gay gives the American’s their best chance at a medal. His best time of 2011 was 9.79 seconds.
G-S-B Probability: 25-40-50

Asafa Powell, Jamaica

Powell turned in an impressive time of 9.78 seconds at Lausanne in 2011, but questions remain as to whether his age and health will hinder him. However, Powell is still capable of stealing the gold from Bolt, and has just as good of a chance as Gay to win bronze or silver.
G-S-B Probability: 30-40-50

Justin Gatlin, United States

A former Olympic champion, Gatlin served a four-year suspension for doping. He returned to the sport in 2010 and appears to have regained some of his previous form. With his best 2011 time of 9.95 seconds, Gatlin is a long-shot to win a medal. However, he is a former champion in the sport and if he returns fully to his previous form he could have a reasonable shot at bronze.
G-S-B Probability: 5-10-20

Walter Dix, United States

Dix is an even bigger long-shot than Gatlin, but he did put in a very fast time of 9.88 seconds in 2010. Dix also took home the gold in the 2011 USA Outdoor Championships and silver in the 2011 World Championships. If a couple of the more powerful runners falter, Dix could possibly sneak in and take the bronze.
G-S-B Probability: 3-9-15


Although there have been swirling rumors that Bolt has been dealing with a back injury of late, betting against him winning gold at this point would be a risky venture. In 2011 races, Bolt posted the fastest time of any other contender with a time of 9.76 seconds at Brussels. Barring an injury or disqualification, Bolt is the odds on favorite to repeat as gold medal winner.
G-S-B Probability: 80-50-30


Usain Bolt – 4/11
Yohan Blake – 7/2
Justin Gatlin – 10/1
Tyson Gay – 11/1
Asafa Powell – 13/1
Nesta Carter – 60/1
C Lemaitre – 60/1
Michael Frater – 90/1
Dwain Chambers – 100/1

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