The Premier League is one of the most-watched football leagues in the world, with millions of fans tuning in every week to watch their favorite teams compete.
As the season draws to a close, the focus shifts to the race for the top 4 spots, which guarantee a spot in the UEFA Champions League. With so much at stake, it’s no surprise that many fans and punters alike are keen to bet on who will finish in the top four spots.
In this blog post, we will provide some tips for betting on the EPL top four finishers, along with some stats on which teams have finished highest in the Premier League over the past ten years.
Tip 1: Look at the current standings
The first thing to consider when betting on the top four finishers in the current standings. The team that is currently leading the league is likely to be one of the favorites to finish in the top four. However, it’s also important to look at the teams that are close behind, as they may be able to overtake the leaders in the remaining fixtures. As of now, the current top four teams in the Premier League are Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, and Spurs.
Tip 2: Consider the team’s recent form
Another important factor to consider when betting on the top four finishers is a team’s recent form. A team that has been winning consistently in the last few games is likely to have a better chance of finishing in the top four than a team that has been struggling to get results. It’s also worth considering the team’s form against other top teams in the league, as this will give you an idea of how well they are likely to perform against their closest rivals.
Tip 3: Look at the team’s previous performance
Looking at a team’s previous performance in the Premier League can also give you an idea of their chances of finishing in the top four. Over the past ten years, the following teams have finished in the top four positions in the Premier League:
- Manchester City – 10 times
- Chelsea – 8 times
- Liverpool – 7 times
- Tottenham Hotspur – 6 times
- Manchester United – 5 times
- Arsenal – 5 times
Based on this data, it’s clear that Manchester City is the most consistent team in the league, having finished in the top four for the past ten consecutive seasons. However, it’s worth noting that other teams, such as Chelsea and Liverpool, have also been consistent performers over the past decade.
Tip 4: Don’t forget about surprises
Finally, it’s worth remembering that the Premier League is known for its surprises, and there is always a chance that a team outside of the current top four could sneak into the top spots. Leicester City famously won the league in the 2015/16 season despite being 5000/1 outsiders at the start of the campaign. It’s also worth considering that injuries and suspensions can have a big impact on a team’s performance, so it’s important to keep an eye on the news and any updates regarding team selection.
Current 2022/23 Season Odds
Currently (27th March 23), the top four positions in the Premier League are held by (1st) Arsenal, (2nd) Man City, (3rd) Manchester United, and (4th) Tottenham.
It would be highly unlikely that Arsenal and Man City don’t make the top four this season. That leaves only Manchester United and Tottenham, who are vulnerable to a challenge from those teams currently outside the top four.
As Man Utd has one of the easiest run-ins: Brentford, Newcastle, Everton, Notts Forest, Tottenham, Aston Villa, Brighton, West Ham, Wolves, Bournemouth, and Fulham. We’ll assume that Erik ten Hag’s team will finish in the top four.
That leaves Tottenham as the last competitive team to make it into the top four. While they have had a fairly decent season, their remaining games won’t be easy. They have to face Newcastle, Man Utd, Liverpool, Villa, and Leeds in their final games.
The team to most likely overhaul Spurs is Newcastle. The Magpies are currently two points behind Tottenham with two games in hand and look set to make the most of it if Spurs slip up.
You can get Newcastle at 11/10 odds with Betfred to finish in the top four, and we think that’s a great price considering how close they are to overtaking Spurs.
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Conclusion:
Betting on the top four finishers in the Premier League can be a great way to add some excitement to the season.
When making your bets, it’s important to consider the team’s current form, their recent performance, and their history in the league.
However, it’s also worth remembering that the Premier League is full of surprises, so there is always a chance that an outsider could upset the odds. With the race for the top four heating up, now is a great time to place your bets and see if you can predict the final standings.
