The Premier League is one of the most-watched football leagues in the world, with millions of fans tuning in every week to watch their favourite teams compete.
As we head into 2026, the focus has shifted to the race for the top 4 spots at the end of season, which guarantees a spot in the UEFA Champions League.
With so much at stake, it's no surprise that many fans and punters alike are keen to bet on who will finish in the Premier League top 4 spots.
In this blog post, we will provide some tips for betting on the EPL top four finishers, along with some stats on which teams have finished highest in the Premier League over the past ten years.
2025/26 Premier League Top 4 Odds
The 2024-25 season finished with Liverpool as winners on 84 points, pulling away to take the title by a ten-point margin from Arsenal and finally halting Manchester City’s run of dominance.
Unsurprisingly, when it comes to premier league predictions, that success has seen Liverpool installed among the favourites to lift the trophy again, opening up at around 2/1 in early markets for the following campaign.
By contrast, things have not gone entirely to plan for Guardiola’s Manchester City, who lost their crown in 2024-25 and now find themselves trading at longer prices than in previous years, typically behind both Liverpool and Arsenal in the outright betting.
Instead, it is Arsenal who have emerged as the odds‑on market leaders for the current title race, quoted at around 4/6 in some books, with City out to roughly 6/4 and Liverpool pushed further back in the betting.
Liverpool may have the trophy in the cabinet from last season, but Arsenal’s consistency over the 2025 calendar year has kept them firmly at the head of the market, while City and the chasing pack lie just behind and ready to pounce if the leaders slip.
The league table and prices can still turn quickly: a strong run of form or a bad month can dramatically reshape both the top‑four picture and the outright odds, so until the points make it mathematically certain, plenty of sides will feel they are still in with a shout of the Champions League spots.
| Team | Top 4 Finish Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1/500 |
| Man City | 1/40 |
| Aston Villa | 1/4 |
| Liverpool | 1/2 |
| Chelsea | 9/4 |
| Man Utd | 5/1 |
| Newcastle | 5/1 |
| Brentford | 18/1 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 25/1 |
| Fulham | 33/1 |
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Tip 1: Look at the current standings
The first thing to consider when betting on the Premier League top 4 finishers in the current standings.
The team that is currently leading the league is likely to be one of the favourites to finish in the top four.
However, it's also important to look at the teams that are close behind, as they may be able to overtake the leaders in the remaining fixtures.
Liverpool come into 2025-26 as defending champions after winning the title in 2024-25, but this time they are chasing from fourth rather than dictating the pace at the top.
Arsenal’s strong start has seen them move into odds‑on favouritism for the title at around 4/6, with Manchester City next best in the betting and Villa and Liverpool priced more generously despite their current top‑four positions.
That market positioning tells you bookmakers still expect Arsenal, City, and Liverpool in particular to be there or thereabouts in the Champions League spots come May.
Tip 2: Consider the team's recent form
Another important factor to consider when betting on the top four finishers is a team's recent form.
A team that has been winning consistently in the last few games is likely to have a better chance of finishing in the top four than a team that has been struggling to get results.
It's also worth considering the team's form against other top teams in the league, as this will give you an idea of how well they are likely to perform against their closest rivals.
Tip 3: Look at the team's previous performance
Looking at a team's previous performance in the Premier League can also give you an idea of their chances of finishing in the top four.
Over the past ten years, the following teams have finished in the top four positions in the Premier League:
- Manchester City – 10 times
- Liverpool – 8 times
- Chelsea – 6 times
- Manchester United – 6 times
- Tottenham Hotspur – 5 times
- Arsenal – 5 times
Based on this data, it's clear that Manchester City is the most consistent team in the league, having finished in the top four for the past ten consecutive seasons.
However, it's worth noting that other teams, such as Chelsea and Liverpool, have also been consistent performers over the past decade.
Tip 4: Don't forget about surprises
Finally, it's worth remembering that the Premier League is known for its surprises, and there is always a chance that a team outside of the current top four could sneak into the top spots.
I doubt many people would have bet on Aston Villa finishing fourth in the 2023-24 season.
Leicester City famously won the league in the 2015/16 season despite being 5000/1 outsiders at the start of the campaign.
It's also worth considering that injuries and suspensions can have a big impact on a team's performance, so it's important to keep an eye on the news and any updates regarding team selection.
Conclusion:
Betting on the top four finishers in the Premier League can be a great way to add some excitement to the season.
When making your bets, it's important to consider the team's current form, their recent performance, and their history in the league.
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And before you part with any of your cash, keep an eye out on the Summer transfer window. A couple of strategic signings could boost a team's chances considerably.
It's also worth remembering that the Premier League is full of surprises, so there is always a chance that an outsider could upset the odds.
With the race for the top four heating up, now is a great time to place your bets and see if you can predict the final standings.
